7.3 Analysis and Interpretation of Induction Success Metrics

Monitoring and analyzing resin induction metrics after microbial inoculation is essential for evaluating efficiency, resin quality, and tree health. Metrics combine biological, chemical, and operational parameters to optimize protocols.

1. Key Success Metrics

MetricDescriptionTarget / Interpretation
Resin Initiation TimeTime from inoculation to first visible resin formationShorter initiation indicates higher inoculation efficacy
Resin YieldWeight or volume of resin per wound/treeHigher yield = more effective strain or method
Resin Spread / CoverageArea of resin deposition in cm²Uniform spread indicates proper inoculation and tree response
Tree Health IndexVisual assessment of stress, wound healing, and survival rateHigh survival with minimal stress indicates sustainable inoculation
Resin QualityPhysical (density, color, texture) and chemical (sesquiterpene/chromone content)Higher chemical marker levels correlate with premium grades
Wound Recovery RateSpeed of wound closure or callus formation around inoculation siteFaster recovery supports tree longevity and repeat inoculation potential
Environmental Response CorrelationCorrelation of resin yield with temperature, rainfall, soil moistureHelps optimize planting and inoculation timing
Fungal Establishment SuccessEvidence of fungal colonization in wood tissueConfirms inoculum viability and effectiveness

2. Data Analysis Approaches

A. Descriptive Statistics

  • Calculate mean, median, range, and standard deviation for resin yield, spread, and chemical markers.
  • Helps compare performance across strains, trees, or methods.

B. Correlation Analysis

  • Examine relationships between resin yield, induction time, and environmental factors.
  • Identify factors that positively or negatively influence success.

C. Comparative Analysis

  • Compare different inoculation methods (drilling, injection, dual-action inoculants).
  • Evaluate tree genotypes or age groups for resin response.

D. Quality Metrics Analysis

  • Use GC-MS/HPLC data to quantify sesquiterpene and chromone content.
  • Calculate resin chemical score for ranking trees or batches.

3. Interpretation Guidelines

  1. Short Induction Time + High Resin Yield → High inoculation efficiency.
  2. High Resin Spread with Uniform Distribution → Effective inoculation technique and fungal colonization.
  3. Tree Health Maintained → Method is sustainable for repeated applications.
  4. High Sesquiterpene and Chromone Levels → Resin suitable for premium-quality oil or commercial grading.
  5. Low Resin or Delayed Induction → May indicate:
    • Suboptimal inoculum concentration
    • Poor tree genotype or age
    • Environmental stress or inadequate post-care

4. Decision-Making Based on Metrics

  • Refine protocols: Adjust inoculum type, concentration, or wound method.
  • Select elite trees: Prioritize high-resin phenotypes for propagation.
  • Optimize plantation management: Correlate environmental data with induction outcomes for better scheduling.
  • Monitor sustainability: Ensure repeated inoculation does not compromise tree health.

5. Visualization of Results

  • Graphs and charts:
    • Resin yield per tree over time (line chart)
    • Resin spread vs. inoculation method (bar chart)
    • Chemical marker content vs. tree genotype (scatter plot)
  • Heat maps: Correlate environmental conditions with resin production success.
  • Cumulative ROI chart: Link resin yield to potential economic returns per tree or plantation block.

6. Key Takeaways

  • Success metrics combine quantitative (yield, chemical content) and qualitative (tree health, resin color, aroma)data.
  • Analysis supports evidence-based optimization of inoculation strategies.
  • Interpretation must consider tree genotype, age, inoculum, environment, and post-care practices.
  • Proper metric analysis enables sustainable, high-quality, and profitable agarwood production.